Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffChina5m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
United Kingdom 82%+8.0ptLíder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,6 mil €
Liquidez
7,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
13 sept 26, 23:00 UTC18 feb 27, 20:55 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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FutuurReglas
If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- For this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data.
- Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.
- Values will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding.
- Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership.
- For row matching, “the named outcome” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “the named outcome” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 436,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,9 mil €
KALSHISOFR for September 17, 2026
- 3.66% or Above94.3%
- Exactly 3.63%0.9%
- Exactly 3.62%0.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 22,4 mil €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.5pt9%
- Below 4.73%+4.2pt7%
- Below 4.51%+0.3pt3%
+6 resultados más
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,4 mil €
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-3.0pt33%
- Below 5.21%+2.0pt17%
- Below 5.18%+4.5pt11%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 5.30%+3.3pt100%
- 5.33%+27.5pt100%
- 5.36%+49.6pt100%
+6 resultados más
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
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- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza United Kingdom al 82% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026??
- Está previsto que Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? se resuelva el 18 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.