KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
4.48% or below · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
4.48% or below 36.5%Líder entre 40 opciones
4.48% or below 36.5%Calidad del mercado
38 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,8 mil €
Interés abierto
2,2 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
4.48% or belowSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
2 nov 26, 21:41 UTC30 nov 26, 20:30 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 1h (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · 4.48% or below
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Activos Sensibles al Macro
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PolymarketReglas
If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.49% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 4.84% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.85% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.48% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.49% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.47% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.48% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.46% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.47% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.45% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.46% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.55% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.56% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.83% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.84% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.82% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.83% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.81% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.82% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.8% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.81% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.79% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.80% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.78% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.79% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.77% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.78% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.76% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.77% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.75% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.76% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.74% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.75% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.73% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.74% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.72% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.73% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.71% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.72% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.7% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.71% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.69% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.70% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.68% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.69% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.67% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.68% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.66% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.67% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.65% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.66% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.64% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.65% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.63% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.64% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.62% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.63% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.61% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.62% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.6% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.61% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.59% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.60% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.58% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.59% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.57% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.58% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.56% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.57% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.54% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.55% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.53% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.54% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.52% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.53% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.51% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.52% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.5% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.51% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.49% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.50% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.