KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
4 may 26, 19:30 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the European Union
- Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.
- Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.