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  • Inicio
  • MercadosMercados de Predicción
  • Arena
  • Tablero
  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / UkraineEurope6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 19%+1.0%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0,1 €

Liquidez

5,4 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

18.0% / 19.0%

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 minutos

4 may 26, 19:301 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes19%

Reglas

If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.
  • Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.

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Will the EU disburse any funds under the €90 billion Ukraine Support Loan by 30 June 2026?

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.
  • Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.