KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 5 84%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
51 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
315,4 €
Liquidez
2,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
4 sept 26, 17:00 UTC15 sept 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:IMF PortWatch
- The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 719,6 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 97,8 mil €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 resultados más
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi cotiza Above 5 al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Está previsto que Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) se resuelva el 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.