KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
September 25 25.3%+12.0ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,5 mil €
Liquidez
14 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
18 sept 26, 16:30 UTC29 sept 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Sep 21, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:IMF PortWatch
- Daily counts will be evaluated from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.
- If Sep 22, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sep 23, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt7%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 27 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 656,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 59,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 525,7 mil €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-5.0pt75.3%
- Yes+5.0pt24.8%
- Volumen total
- 10,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 410 mil €
POLYMARKETSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- October 31+12.9pt88%
- September 30+26.5pt56%
- September 221%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.3pt13%
- Save the Children+0.1pt10%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
+28 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029+3.0pt73%
- Before Jul 1, 2028+3.0pt68%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt56%
+10 resultados más
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi cotiza September 25 al 25.3% a fecha de 23 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Está previsto que Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27) se resuelva el 29 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Sep 21, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.