FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
3.0% or more 76.2%Líder entre 7 opciones
3.0% or more 76.2%Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
12,1 mil €
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Actualizado hace 1 minuto
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This event refers to the annual inflation rate for the euro area in 2026, defined as the percentage change over the 12 months ending in December 2026 compared to the same period ending in December 2025.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank (ECB), based on Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data produced by Eurostat.
- Resolution will use the first official figure for December 2026 as published or cited by the ECB, rounded to one decimal place using standard rounding rules.
- If the ECB publication is delayed, unclear, or unavailable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same HICP figure from Eurostat releases or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg.
- The markets will resolve according to the substantive inflation outcome implied by the data and market intent, not minor technical or formatting changes in the source.
- Subsequent data revisions after the initial publication will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.
