Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

Inflation6m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos

Datos del 11 jun 2026, 17:25 UTC · política pm-quality-2

Pronóstico comunitario actual

y ≥ 2.0% 100%

Líder entre 9 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 44 días

Desactualizado

20 nov 25, 18:291 feb 27, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

y ≥ 2.0%

100%

y ≥ 2.5%

100%

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

y ≥ 4.5%57%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.

If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
Please adjust your prices accordingly.
Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$64,487.59+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,886.48+1.54%

SolanaSOL$74.96+1.44%

Mercados Relacionados

Fed Decision in July?

1,7 M €

No change: 80%

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

48,8 mil €

Sí: 71%

POLYMARKET

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

10,6 mil €

Above 3.4%: 31%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI in July

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

3,4 mil €

Republican president, <2%: 23.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BNBBNB$570.63+0.85%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.62%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.00%

Noticias Relacionadas

CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph

Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Reglas

If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
Please adjust your prices accordingly.
Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

Inflation6m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos

Datos del 11 jun 2026, 17:25 UTC · política pm-quality-2

Pronóstico comunitario actual

y ≥ 2.0% 100%

Líder entre 9 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 44 días

Desactualizado

20 nov 25, 18:291 feb 27, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

y ≥ 2.0%

100%

y ≥ 2.5%

100%

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

y ≥ 4.5%57%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
Please adjust your prices accordingly.
Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$64,487.59+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,886.48+1.54%

SolanaSOL$74.96+1.44%

Mercados Relacionados

Fed Decision in July?

1,7 M €

No change: 80%

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

48,8 mil €

Sí: 71%

POLYMARKET

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

10,6 mil €

Above 3.4%: 31%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI in July

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

3,4 mil €

Republican president, <2%: 23.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BNBBNB$570.63+0.85%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.62%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.00%

Noticias Relacionadas

CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph

Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Reglas

If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
Please adjust your prices accordingly.
Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.