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  • Inicio
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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Inflation
  3. Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?
Manifold Markets

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

Inflation7m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.0% 100%
Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores

18

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 minutos

20 nov 25, 18:291 feb 27, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.0%
100%
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.5%
100%

Resultado elegido

y ≥ 4.5%57%

Reglas

Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.

Manifold Markets
  • If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
  • Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
  • Please adjust your prices accordingly.
  • Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
  • If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,019.68+1.18%EthereumETH$1,633.12+0.56%SolanaSOL$64.38+0.08%

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CPI in June

CPI in June

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Activos en estos temas

BNBBNB$590.65+0.59%DogecoinDOGE$0.0837-0.13%XRPXRP$1.11-1.01%

Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.

Manifold Markets
  • If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
  • Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
  • Please adjust your prices accordingly.
  • Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
  • If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.