Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualy ≥ 2.0% 100%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado20 nov 25, 18:29 UTC1 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Brazil have a higher MoM inflation rate than Argentina during 2026?
Manifold MarketsEuro area’s inflation rate in 2026
FutuurUS annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExReglas
Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.
- If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
- Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
- Please adjust your prices accordingly.
- Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
- If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.
Mercados abiertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 128,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volumen total
- 8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 95,8 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 29 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
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- CPI in September
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- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
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Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza y ≥ 2.0% al 100% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.