PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
≤1.9% 49.5%+1.6ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
356,4 €
Liquidez
3,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComments
1
Cambio 7d
+0.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
17 jun 26, 23:3222 ene 27, 23:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
- The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
- For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 36,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volumen total
- 6,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 64,4 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 106,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 45,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza ≤1.9% al 50% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026?
- Está previsto que Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026 se resuelva el 22 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).