KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Exactly 4.0% 8%+6.0ptLíder entre 21 opciones
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
6,8 mil €
Liquidez
7,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
17 sept 26, 23:00 UTC13 ene 27, 13:29 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
InflationKALSHICPI core in September
- Above 0.0%98%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt88%
- Above 0.2%-3.0pt41%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 41,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,7 mil €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 3.3%98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 299,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,5 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt60%
- 3 (75 bps)+2.7pt21%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt17%
+3 resultados más
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 176,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 18,3 mil €
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%+5.0pt38%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above-4.0pt37%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.1% or below-5.0pt6%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-6.5pt35%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+3.0pt26.2%
- Hike–Hike–Hike+3.0pt22.3%
+6 resultados más
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Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza Exactly 4.0% al 8% a fecha de 19 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026?
- Está previsto que CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 se resuelva el 13 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.