Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
9.5% (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability300M 100%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$13.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
33.0% / 34.0%
Spread
3.0%
Moderate spread7d Change
+11.5%
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 11:35 PMSep 9, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
100%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
285M85%
Volume trend
$1.4kJul 1512d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S.
- Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S.
- Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
- If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.