Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by which date?
EntertainmentOne-Off12d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
September 21 98%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$404.1
Liquidity
$3.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.9 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 8:40 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
Polymarket"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
Manifold MarketsWill Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?
PolymarketWill Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
