PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleMay 20, 22, 12:00 AMMay 27, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
In Response to Trader Inquiry: If there is no close price on the resolution date, the previous day’s close price will be used.
- If the value natural gas is greater than $8.00 at market close according to the resolution source on the resolution date, May 27, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- If the value of natural gas is $8.00 or less as of market close according to the resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng:nmx/historical).
- Resolution will be based on the value listed in column labelled “Close/Last” in the row titled with the resolution date.
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+66.0pt95.2%
- 83° to 84°-46.0pt1%
- 89° or above-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $490.2K
- 24h Vol
- $439.7K
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+4.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+4.0pt99%
- $68,500 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+15.0pt81.8%
- Oklahoma City-12.0pt1.6%
- Atlanta-2.0pt1.6%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $359.9K
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above98%
- $74,250 or above98%
- $75,000 or above97%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $308.4K
- 24h Vol
- $302.8K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
- 65-89+19.5pt63.3%
- 40-64-2.5pt34.7%
- 90-114-14.9pt2%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-1.0pt10.6%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.3pt10.6%
- 70,000 to 74,999.998.7%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.1M
- Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
- Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 25, 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of August?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 25, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will natural gas close above $8 on May 27, 2022??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will natural gas close above $8 on May 27, 2022? resolve?
- Will natural gas close above $8 on May 27, 2022? is scheduled to resolve on May 27, 2022.
- How is Will natural gas close above $8 on May 27, 2022? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: In Response to Trader Inquiry: If there is no close price on the resolution date, the previous day’s close price will be used.