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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection11d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Laura Gillen
Laura Gillen 98%
Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$481

Liquidity

$31.4K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

97.4% / 98.8%

Spread

1.4%

Tight spread
7d Change

+6.6%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Dec 1, 25, 9:03 PMJun 23, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Candidate B
Candidate B
0%
Candidate D
Candidate D
0%
Candidate F
Candidate F
0%
Candidate H
Candidate H
0%

Selected outcome

Laura Gillen98%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.

Polymarket
  • House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
  • The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
  • If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.

Polymarket
  • House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
  • The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
  • If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.