Current implied probability
MiniMax 70%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:53 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.