Selected book midpoint
Google · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
Google 41%Leader of 21 outcomes
Google 41%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.8K
Liquidity
$13K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
GoogleSpread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 3:02 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Google
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
PolymarketWhich company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)
Polymarket#3 AI Lab end of January? (Style Control On)
Polymarket#2 AI Lab end of January? (Style Control On)
PolymarketWhich company will have the #1 Chatbot Arena model before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsNovember 2026 AI model releases
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2027, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
