What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (July 20 - July 26)
51.2% (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope14h
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAI / Artificial Intelligence 100%+3.5%Leader of 24 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.5%
Spread
400.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 2:03 AMJul 26, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
China / Chinese3%
Volume trend
$4.2kJul 207d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$139.3KUnited Russia (ER): 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
$60.1KDecember 31: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
$668.1Yes: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will a NATO member provide humanitarian aid to Russia before 2035?
$500Yes: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSFirst overseas visit of the next UK PM?
$245.5USA 🇺🇸: 5.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
$216Yes: 25%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between July 20 and July 26, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline.
- The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
- Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline.
- Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.