PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Sep 25, 2026, 6:24 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 25, 2026, 10:01 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Tariff96%
Gold95%
Middle East73%
Labor62%
Dividend0%
Hot Dog0%
Spending76%
Holiday86%
Customer 10+ times0%
Peptide0%
Automation0%
GLP-1 / GLP 137%
Revenue0%
Quarter 15+ times100%
Quarter 15+ timesWon
TariffWon
ExpansionWon
SpendingWon
HolidayWon
LaborWon
Middle EastWon
GLP-1 / GLP 1Won
GoldWon
Customer 10+ timesLost
RevenueLost
DividendLost
PeptideLost
Hot DogLost
AutomationLost
-No Qualifying Event-Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be audio of the event.
- For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf