PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
The Whisper Man (2026) 47.7%+7.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
49.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 26, 26, 11:43 PMSep 1, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Rules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie.
- Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking.
- If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles.
- This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Facing El Chapo is 10%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Facing El Chapo 10% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — #2 US Netflix Movie this week? · The Whisper Man 12%
