Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
84 / 100
High quality
24h Volume
$16.6K
Liquidity
$155.4K
High liquidity
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread
Comments
0
7d Change
-1.9 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 4:17 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
920 - 940m
0%
940 - 960m
0%
960 - 980m
0%
980 - 1000m
0%
1000 - 1020m
0%
1020 - 1040m
0%
1040 - 1060m
0%
1060 - 1080m
0%
1080m+
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)?
Polymarket prices <900m at 62% as of August 21, 2026.
When does "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes) resolve?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes) is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026.
How is "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes) settled?
Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026.