PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
38-41m 50%-0.5ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$12.7K
Liquidity
$72.5K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 7:56 PMAug 23, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend.
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
- If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Open markets
Entertainment
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+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIInsidious: Out of the Further · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4099%
- Above 50+9.0pt99%
- Above 45+1.0pt99%
+9 more outcomes
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KALSHIMutiny · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+16.0pt99%
- Above 50+35.0pt78%
- Above 55-1.0pt8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $292.6K
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey+1.0pt60%
- Dune: Part Three11%
- The Black Ball8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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- Before July 202797%
- Before January 2028-2.0pt97%
- Before 202787%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $31.5K
POLYMARKET"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- 550 - 570m+2.5pt83.8%
- 570m+-5.7pt14.1%
- 530 - 550m-0.2pt2%
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- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
- Emmy winner: Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office?
- Polymarket prices 38-41m at 50% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office resolve?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office is scheduled to resolve on August 23, 2026.
- How is "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend.