KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ariana Grande 99%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$266.3K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 5:10 PM UTCDec 27, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
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KalshiRules
If the named outcome has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Billboard
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard.
- Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
- For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $224.9K
- 24h Vol
- $107.3K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2599%
- Above 2785%
- Above 3074%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $118.2K
- 24h Vol
- $76.7K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-5.0pt74%
- 940 - 950m+4.5pt24%
- 960 - 970m-1.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+14.0pt98%
- Above 50+31.0pt95%
- Above 55+39.0pt91%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $319.5K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel-3.0pt25.7%
- Dee Valladares+10.0pt14.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-4.0pt14.7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-8.0pt73.3%
- Yes+8.0pt26.7%
- Total Vol
- $401.9K
- 24h Vol
- $55.7K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will have a #1 album this year??
- Kalshi prices Ariana Grande at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who will have a #1 album this year? resolve?
- Who will have a #1 album this year? is scheduled to resolve on December 27, 2026.
- How is Who will have a #1 album this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.