KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Miley Cyrus (99%)
Resolved: Aug 11, 2026, 6:48 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 29, 2026, 3:46 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
NF15%
Bryson Tiller3%
Sabrina Carpenter26%
Kodak Black3%
Olivia Dean22%
Sam Smith2%
SZA34%
Bebe Rexha2%
Linkin Park4%
Fall Out Boy2%
The Weeknd16%
Lana Del Rey23%
Tate McRae27%
Miley CyrusWon
Ariana GrandeLost
KATSEYELost
Stray KidsLost
Rod WaveLost
Post MaloneLost
SZALost
Lil Uzi VertLost
Travis ScottLost
Tate McRaeLost
Sabrina CarpenterLost
Kendrick LamarLost
Lana Del ReyLost
Olivia DeanLost
Billie EilishLost
BeyoncéLost
Megan Thee StallionLost
Lil BabyLost
Dua LipaLost
Nicki MinajLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Billboard
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard.
- Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
- For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.