PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
A Toxic Love Story 98%+4.3ptLeader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$31.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
97.0% / 99.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 11:31 PMJul 28, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
A Toxic Love Story98%
Compare venues· A Toxic Love Story
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 98% | 0pt | $4.3K | $31.7K | 9 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi100% match · auto | Medium | 99% | +1pt | $4.2K | $8.5K | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
#2 Global Netflix Movie this week?
5.0 pts12h
+5.0pt99%
5%
4%
+13 more outcomes
65 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$13.4K
24h Vol$4.2K
KALSHIRules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.
- The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.3kJul 235d of dataJul 27
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Rules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.
- The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".