KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityA Toxic Love Story 99%+5.0ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$8.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 4:00 PMJul 28, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
A Toxic Love Story99%
Compare venues· A Toxic Love Story
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall100% match · auto | Medium | 98% | 0pt | $4.3K | $28.8K | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Medium | 99% | +1pt | $4.2K | $8.4K | 10 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
4.3 pts1d
+4.3pt98%
50%
50%
+15 more outcomes
66 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$15.7K
24h Vol$4.3K
POLYMARKETRules
If Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.2kJul 226d of dataJul 27
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Rules
If Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.