PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
A Toxic Love Story 88%+16.0%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$18.6K
Liquidity
$68.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
87.0% / 89.0%
Spread
2.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 11:57 PMJul 28, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
A Toxic Love Story88%
Compare venues· A Toxic Love Story
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 88% | +1pt | $18.6K | $68.7K | 20 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active89% match · auto | High | 87% | 0pt | $62.8K | $156K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Top US Netflix Movie this week?
6.0%1d
+17.0%87%
-6.0%14%
1%
+13 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$213.3K
24h Vol$62.8K
KALSHIRules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.
- The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k87.9%POLYMARKETWill "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? — Yesbarcaa12h ago
POLYMARKETWill "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? — Yesbarcaa12h agoVolume trend
$18.6kJul 234d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Hungarian Grand Prix Winner
$1.1MOscar Piastri: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$663.4KJon Ossoff: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
$184.4KBeast: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
"The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office
$78.7K86-92m: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will happen before GTA VI?
$67KRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
$60.1KDecember 31: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.
- The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".