KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability72 HOURS 14%-6.0%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$62.8K
Liquidity
$156K
High liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
7.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 1:45 PMJul 28, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
72 HOURS14%
Compare venues· A Toxic Love Story
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall89% match · auto | High | 88% | +1pt | $18.6K | $68.7K | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | High | 87% | 0pt | $62.8K | $156K | 19 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
16.0%2d
+16.0%88%
50%
50%
+15 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$38.9K
24h Vol$18.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k87.9%POLYMARKETWill "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? — Yesbarcaa12h ago
POLYMARKETWill "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? — Yesbarcaa12h agoVolume trend
$62.8kJul 225d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Hungarian Grand Prix Winner
$1.1MOscar Piastri: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$663.4KJon Ossoff: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
$184.4KBeast: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
"The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office
$78.7K86-92m: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will happen before GTA VI?
$67KRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
$60.1KDecember 31: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
If Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.