Current implied probability
Base 96%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
85 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$29.3K
Liquidity
$119.4K
High liquiditySpread
0.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 5:22 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketLAPTOP airdrop by which date?
PolymarketWhich cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
KalshiWhat will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Hunter Biden actually launch a meme coin on September 9, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the blockchain network on which the LAPTOP token launches, defined as the network on which the token first becomes actively and publicly tradable.
- If the token launches solely on one or more networks not listed in this event, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives.
- For the purposes of this market, layer-2 and other networks are treated as distinct from Ethereum mainnet; a launch on Base will not qualify as a launch on Ethereum.
- If the token becomes actively and publicly tradable on more than one network within the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the alphabetically first of the networks listed in this event on which it became tradable that day.
- For example, a same-day launch on Base and Solana resolves to Base; a same-day launch on Solana and an unlisted network resolves to Solana; a launch only on unlisted networks resolves to "Other".
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Base is 97%.
CoinRithm reference Base 97% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
Open markets
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $845.3K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 8?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000100%
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ↑ 2,500+18.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,250+42.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,000+13.4pt100%
+27 more outcomes
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
- Bitcoin price on September 8?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What chain will LAPTOP launch on??
- Polymarket prices Base at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What chain will LAPTOP launch on? resolve?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is What chain will LAPTOP launch on? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the blockchain network on which the LAPTOP token launches, defined as the network on which the token first becomes actively and publicly tradable.
- Where else is What chain will LAPTOP launch on? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless.