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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?
US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East3d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
June 15
June 15 38%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

61 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$6.7K

Liquidity

$18K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.0% / 12.0%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 12, 26, 12:48 AMJun 16, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

June 1538%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by {date}, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date.
  • Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen.
  • Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
  • Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13").

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by {date}, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date.
  • Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen.
  • Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
  • Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13").