United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor?
19.0 pts (24h)One-OffBusiness & Corporate9d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
82% to 83% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
82% to 83% 26.7%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
82% to 83% 26.7%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
82% to 83%Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 1:55 PM UTCOct 20, 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 82% to 83%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to United Airlines' consolidated passenger load factor, for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
- The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials.
- Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
- If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.