UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

EconomyQuarterly2mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

Negative 48%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

Liquidity

$3.4K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

- / 95.0%

7d Change

+0.5%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

May 26, 26, 6:33 PMAug 12, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Negative48%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,668.49+2.36%

EthereumETH$1,651.07+1.73%

SolanaSOL$65.14+1.77%

Related Markets

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

$1K

4.6-4.9%: 83%

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US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

$180.6

2.0–2.5%: 27%

POLYMARKET

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

$50

Yes: 21%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

$5.9

-2.4%– -1.6%: 46%

POLYMARKET

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

$3.5

Above 2.5%: 53%

KALSHI

China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

$2.1

Above 4.2%: 90%

KALSHI

Rules

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

EconomyQuarterly2mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

Negative 48%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

Liquidity

$3.4K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

- / 95.0%

7d Change

+0.5%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

May 26, 26, 6:33 PMAug 12, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Negative48%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,668.49+2.36%

EthereumETH$1,651.07+1.73%

SolanaSOL$65.14+1.77%

Related Markets

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

$1K

4.6-4.9%: 83%

POLYMARKET

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

$180.6

2.0–2.5%: 27%

POLYMARKET

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

$50

Yes: 21%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

$5.9

-2.4%– -1.6%: 46%

POLYMARKET

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

$3.5

Above 2.5%: 53%

KALSHI

China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

$2.1

Above 4.2%: 90%

KALSHI

Rules

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).