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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026
China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

EconomyQuarterlyChina1mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 4.2%
Above 4.2% 90%
Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2

Liquidity

$48.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

82.0% / 98.0%

Spread

19.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Apr 16, 26, 12:12 PMJul 15, 26, 1:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 4.2%90%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

0.5%1mo
4.6-4.9%
4.6-4.9%
+0.5%84%
4.9-5.2%
4.9-5.2%
+0.5%11%
5.2-5.5%
5.2-5.5%
-0.6%3%

+6 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$52.9K
24h Vol$1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above

Kalshi
  • , then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,876.09+2.77%EthereumETH$1,658.93+2.16%SolanaSOL$65.35+2.30%

Related Markets

China unemployment rate in May

China unemployment rate in May

$6.1
Above 5.5%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
China Nominal GDP in 2026

China Nominal GDP in 2026

$0
Above $22.2 trillion: 10%KalshiKALSHI
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?

China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?

$0
Yes: 20%KalshiKALSHI
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

$180.6
2.0–2.5%: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

$50
Yes: 21%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

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Rules

If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above

Kalshi
  • , then the market resolves to Yes.