PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No Change (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 23, 2026, 3:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probabilityNo Change 100%+99.4ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$14.4K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-60.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleMay 28, 26, 6:27 PMJul 23, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
No Change100%
25 bps hike0%
25 bps cut1%
50+ bps hike0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No Change
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall71% match · verified | Low | 95% | — | $2.6K | $8.1K | 4 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Low | 100% | — | $14.4K | $0 | 3 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July
8.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Maintain current rate (1%)
+3.0pt90.5%
+4.0pt4.8%
-4.0pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
31 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$14.5K
24h Vol$2.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$14.4kJul 223d of dataJul 24
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).