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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Central Banks
  3. South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July
South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

One-OffCentral BanksMacro & Economy1mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Cut more than 25bps
Cut more than 25bps 1%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$17.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 2.0%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Jun 2, 26, 5:00 PMJul 23, 26, 12:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Hike more than 25bps
Hike more than 25bps
0%

Selected outcome

Cut more than 25bps1%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

30.5%1mo
25 bps hike
25 bps hike
+30.5%63%
50+ bps hike
50+ bps hike
-1.0%42%
50+ bps cut
50+ bps cut
-0.5%35%

+2 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.3K
24h Vol$6.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
  • For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
  • If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
  • Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
  • The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Related Markets

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

$754.6
No Change: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

$242.8
No Change: 80%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in June

European Central Bank rate decision in June

$78.4
Cut 1-25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Bank of England rate decision in June

Bank of England rate decision in June

$0.5
Maintain current rate: 94%KalshiKALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

$0.2
Before Jan 2027: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,601.64+1.73%EthereumETH$1,652.38+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.07+0.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.00%XRPXRP$1.12-0.33%BNBBNB$595.43+1.28%

Related News

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraphCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsBitcoin price $60K support not yet safe as more macro headwinds stack up CointelegraphU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Rules

If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
  • For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
  • If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
  • Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
  • The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).