PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
October 31 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
October 31 10%
October 31 10%Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$369.6
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
October 31Spread
—
Comments
3
7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 7:58 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · October 31
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Situational Awareness LP raise fresh capital after its July 2026 unwind?
Manifold MarketsSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by which date?
Polymarket[Situational awareness] Will pre-2028 LLMs achieve token-output control?
Manifold MarketsWill Situational Awareness be bigger than Citadel by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify.
- Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.
- Only capital actually contributed will qualify.
- Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.
