What are the current odds for Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31??

Polymarket prices No at 97% as of August 21, 2026.

Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?

1.1 pts (24h)One-OffBusiness & Corporate AI10d

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

No 97%+1.1pt

Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$5.7K

Liquidity

$10K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

2.2% / 3.7%

Spread

1.5 pt

Tight spread

Comments

7d Change

-17.1 pts

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jul 30, 26, 7:58 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify.
Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.
Only capital actually contributed will qualify.
Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.

Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?

1.1 pts (24h)One-OffBusiness & Corporate AI10d

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

No 97%+1.1pt

Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$5.7K

Liquidity

$10K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

2.2% / 3.7%

Spread

1.5 pt

Tight spread

Comments

7d Change

-17.1 pts

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jul 30, 26, 7:58 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify.
Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.
Only capital actually contributed will qualify.
Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31??: Polymarket prices No at 97% as of August 21, 2026.
When does Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? resolve?: Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026.
How is Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?

Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?

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