This market resolved: Carlos Vila Nova (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Carlos Vila Nova 100%Leader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$599.8
Liquidity
$65.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.5%
Spread
0.4 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jun 24, 26, 1:54 AMJul 19, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Carlos Vila Nova100%
Nito Abreu0%
Elsa Pinto0%
Jorge Bom Jesus0%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Carlos Vila Nova
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 100% | — | $599.8 | $65.1K | 13 minutes ago | |
 Futuur72% match · auto | Low | 98% | — | $0 | $10.1K | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Futuur
São Tomé and Príncipe presidential election winner (2026)
1mo
96.1%
1%
1%
+2 more outcomes
39 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.2K
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections.
- Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? — Yessamcdh464d ago
POLYMARKETWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? — Yessamcdh464d ago$1.2k99.5%POLYMARKETWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? — YesHot-Skull6d ago
POLYMARKETWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? — YesHot-Skull6d agoVolume trend
$600Jul 226d of dataJul 27
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Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections.
- Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.