PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Down 88%+37.5pt
Down 88%+37.5ptMarket quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.6K
Liquidity
$19.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 16.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 12:01 PM UTCOct 6, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 7?
PolymarketWill Dec-26 Russell 2000 Index Futures settle above 2,800 on October 30 2026? (small caps) (RUT) (equities)?
ForecastExS&P close price end of 2026?
KalshiNasdaq-100 price on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
KalshiNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.