PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 12:42 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
The Black Ball · —
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Stored reference
The Black Ball 44.5%Leader of 15 outcomes
The Black Ball 44.5%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$433.1
Liquidity
$24.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$6.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
The Black BallSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 6, 26, 9:14 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · The Black Ball
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
PolymarketOscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay
KalshiCritics Choice Awards: Best Adapted Screenplay
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay
KalshiCritics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay
KalshiOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
PolymarketRules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film.
- For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
- If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
- In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
- If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".