KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
The Black Ball · —
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Stored price
The Black Ball 47.5%Leader of 15 outcomes
The Black Ball 47.5%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$86.9
Open interest
$25.9K
High open interestBid / Ask
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The Black BallSpread
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Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingAug 5, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · The Black Ball
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay
KalshiCritics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay
KalshiCritics Choice Awards: Best Adapted Screenplay
KalshiOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
PolymarketOscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay
KalshiRules
If The Black Ball has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
- The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Rules for each outcome
- The Black Ball
- If The Black Ball has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Invite
- If The Invite has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Odyssey
- If The Odyssey has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Project Hail Mary
- If Project Hail Mary has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wildwood
- If Wildwood has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dune: Part Three
- If Dune: Part Three has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarissa
- If Clarissa has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Saturn Return
- If Saturn Return has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Social Reckoning
- If The Social Reckoning has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Toy Story 5
- If Toy Story 5 has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- All of a Sudden
- If All of a Sudden has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Whisper Man
- If The Whisper Man has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cry to Heaven
- If Cry to Heaven has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ink
- If Ink has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
- If The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.