PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probabilityRepublican Party 90%+0.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$143.8
Liquidity
$27.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
89.0% / 91.0%
Spread
2.3%
Tight spread7d Change
+0.5%
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleJan 28, 26, 9:56 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
90%
9%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Also available on Kalshi
OH-12 House winner?
85.5%1y
+85.5%91%
13%
52 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.8K
24h Vol$550
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.