PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 10:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Caleb McLaughlin 43%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$224.4
Low liquiditySpread
81.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 10:56 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Marvel: Actor cast as Miles Morales
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify.
- Only live-action feature film castings will qualify.
- If more than one actor is announced to portray Miles Morales in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify.
- Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify.
- If no actor is announced as the live-action Miles Morales within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Miles Morales live-action film actor??
- Polymarket prices Caleb McLaughlin at 43% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Miles Morales live-action film actor? resolve?
- Miles Morales live-action film actor? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Miles Morales live-action film actor? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.