PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Under 94%+0.5pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$558.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 7.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-23.5 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 7:08 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mega Dragonite ex Price Over/Under $668.24 on September 30?
PolymarketMega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?
PolymarketMega Charizard X ex Price Over/Under $34.11 on September 30?
PolymarketGengar (Cosmos Holo) (EB Games Exclusive) Up or Down:
KalshiMega Charizard X ex Up or Down:
KalshiWhich of These New Mega Evolutions will be in Ubers?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
- This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date.
- Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
- If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30??
- Polymarket prices Under at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30? resolve?
- Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.