Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGreninja 76.4%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 9, 25, 2:40 PM UTCOct 16, 26, 2:36 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mega Charizard X ex Up or Down:
KalshiMega Dragonite ex Price Over/Under $668.24 on September 30?
PolymarketMega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30?
PolymarketMega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond movie (#26) [Mega Independent] / Prop bets:
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRules
For each, resolves to YES if 1 year after the release of Pokemon Legends: Z-A (Oct 16, 2026), the mega evolution of the Pokemon is banned from the OU singles tier according to Smogon rules.
- New mega evolutions will be added as they are official released.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which of These New Mega Evolutions will be in Ubers??
- Manifold Markets prices Greninja at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which of These New Mega Evolutions will be in Ubers? resolve?
- Which of These New Mega Evolutions will be in Ubers? is scheduled to resolve on October 16, 2026.
- How is Which of These New Mega Evolutions will be in Ubers? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: For each, resolves to YES if 1 year after the release of Pokemon Legends: Z-A (Oct 16, 2026), the mega evolution of the Pokemon is banned from the OU singles tier according to Smogon rules.