PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Under 80%-0.5pt
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$393
Low liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 24.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-8.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 7:08 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mega Charizard X ex Price Over/Under $34.11 on September 30?
PolymarketMega Charizard X ex Up or Down:
KalshiCharizard ex Price Over/Under $376.42 on September 30?
PolymarketCharizard ex Up or Down:
KalshiMega Dragonite ex Price Over/Under $668.24 on September 30?
PolymarketWhich of These New Mega Evolutions will be in Ubers?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
- This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date.
- Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
- If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30??
- Polymarket prices Under at 80% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30? resolve?
- Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.