This market resolved: Andy Burnham (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityAndy Burnham 100%+12.9ptLeader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+23.4 pts
Market data
Updated 37 days ago
StaleMay 14, 26, 11:54 PMJun 18, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Andy Burnham100%
Rebecca Shepherd2%
Robert Kenyon0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Andy Burnham
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
Closed
91.3%
8.4%
0.2%
14 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
SMARKETS
Also available on Kalshi
Makerfield by-election winner?
Closed
Resolved
Labour (99%)
+10.0pt95.2%
1%
-11.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
39 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$164.1K
KALSHIRules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
- If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$149.2KUnited Russia (ER): 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election Winner
$18.4KNigel Farage: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETClacton by-election: 2nd place
$15.8KCount Binface: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
$1.2KYes: 7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
$596.7Yes, full recount: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
$529.1Richmond and Northallerton [Rishi Sunak]: 30.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Le Pen jumps to 33% in France 2027 race, volume tops $114MBlockchain.News%20Abstract%20Cryptocurrency.%20With%20a%20dark%20background%20and%20a%20world%20map-min.jpg)
Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jumpBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9MBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmentedBlockchain.NewsRules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
- If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).