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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Makerfield by-election Winner
Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElection6d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham 86%+1.0%
Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$166.8K

Liquidity

$995.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.4% / 2.5%

Spread

4.2%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-0.8%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 14, 26, 11:54 PMJun 18, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Simon Finkelstein
Simon Finkelstein
0%
Maria Deery
Maria Deery
0%
Candidate C
Candidate C
0%

Selected outcome

Andy Burnham86%

SmarketsAlso available on Smarkets

Smarkets

Makerfield By-Election - Winner

Smarkets
Green
0.1%
Smarkets
Labour
82.6%
Smarkets
Reform UK
12.5%

+1 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
SmarketsSMARKETS

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

Makerfield by-election winner?

Makerfield by-election winner?

1.0%1y
Restore Britain
Restore Britain
-1.0%1%
Labour
Labour
88%
Reform UK
Reform UK
12%

+3 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$5K
24h Vol$523.9
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
  • If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
  • In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
  • If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
  • In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).