This market resolved: No
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 2:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
44%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 11:47 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No42%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?
Manifold MarketsSTRC hits $100 by…
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiNASDAQ-100 price at year-end?
KalshiRules
As of market creation, Mastercard is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for Mastercard’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $5.32 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mastercard reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $5.32 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If Mastercard releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha.