PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityAnn Wagner 99%+5.7%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.1K
Liquidity
$64.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
98.5% / 98.9%
Spread
0.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 6, 26, 10:09 PMAug 4, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Ann Wagner99%
Volume trend
$5.1kJul 62d of dataJul 7
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.