This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Current implied probability
Turek 20–30% 99%+0.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 76.3%
Spread
76200.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+37.1%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 2, 26, 4:00 PMJun 2, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
99%
50%
38%
38%
2%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Also available on Kalshi
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
8.0%11mo
-8.0%1%
+11.0%99%
-1.0%2%
+5 more outcomes
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$362.8
24h Vol$89.6
KALSHIRules
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.