KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityJosh Turek, 20-25% 1%-8.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$89.6
Liquidity
$181.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 2, 26, 7:00 PMJun 3, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Josh Turek, 20-25%1%
Also available on Polymarket
Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
30.9%Closed
+0.8%99%
50%
+30.8%35%
+3 more outcomes
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$5.2K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.