PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 70-80B (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability70-80B 100%+1.6ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$19.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+12.9 pts
Market data
Updated 43 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
70-80B99%
80-90B1%
120B+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 70-80B
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $19.6K | $0 | 43 days ago | |
 Limitless73% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $0 | $0 | 43 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
Closed
98.7%
49.5%
49.5%
+7 more outcomes
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.6
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
- The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S.
- Securities and Exchange Commission.
- Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
- Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds.
- Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
- The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S.
- Securities and Exchange Commission.
- Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
- Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds.
- Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.