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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week?
When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week?

When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week?

RegulationTechOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate2mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before September
Before September 9%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$40.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 10.0%

Spread

42.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

May 29, 26, 12:00 AMSep 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before September9%

Rules

If Waymo officially announces 1 million paid rides per week before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
  • CEO statements through official channels qualify.
  • Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
  • The announcement must occur after market issuance.
  • Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.

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Rules

If Waymo officially announces 1 million paid rides per week before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
  • CEO statements through official channels qualify.
  • Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
  • The announcement must occur after market issuance.
  • Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.