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Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

27d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Forecast context

Current community forecast

≥$0.6T 100%

Forecasters

8

Question type

multiple choice

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Last updated: Jun 3, 4:23 PM

Resolves

Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

-

Started Apr 22, 2026, 3:49 AMEnds Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
≥$0.6T
-100%
Manifold Markets
≥$0.7T
-100%
Manifold Markets
≥$0.8T
-100%
Manifold Markets
≥$0.9T
-69.3%
Manifold Markets
≥$1T
-29.1%
Manifold Markets
≥$1.1T
-23.1%
Manifold Markets
≥$1.25T
-21.7%
Manifold Markets
≥$1.5T
-17.4%
Manifold Markets
≥$2T
-6.8%

Rules

Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.

  • Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
  • Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
  • Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
  • ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
  • Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
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Mock trade

Paper

Mock trading is available for binary (Yes/No) markets only.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTCResearchEthereumETHResearchSolanaSOLResearch

Topics

RegulationTechAI

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